Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne AFL Round 10 Prediction

Author By:

Liam Carter

May 15, 2026

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The Adelaide Crows (Kuwarna) host North Melbourne in Round 10 of the 2026 AFL Premiership Season at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Furthermore, this fixture pits the eighth-placed Crows against the 12th-placed Kangaroos in a critical clash for Wildcard finals positioning.

In addition, the Crows hold an 8-match winning streak against North Melbourne stretching back several seasons. Moreover, the Kangaroos have not won at Adelaide Oval across their past 13 visits. As a result, this fixture carries significant playoff implications as Adelaide pushes for top-eight finals qualification.

Match Details

The game starts at 12:45 PM local ACST time at Adelaide Oval, marking another Saturday afternoon fixture at the iconic venue. Specifically, the match is broadcast across multiple international networks, with the contest set to draw a strong South Australian crowd at the 53,000-capacity venue.

DetailInformation
MatchAdelaide Crows vs North Melbourne
TournamentAFL 2026 Premiership Season
RoundRound 10
DateSaturday, May 16, 2026
Local Time (ACST)12:45 PM
AEST1:15 PM
VenueAdelaide Oval, Adelaide
CapacityApproximately 53,000
Match TypeRegular season + Sir Doug Nicholls Round

How Are Both Teams Performing?

Furthermore, the two sides arrive at Adelaide Oval with contrasting form lines. Specifically, the Crows have won four of their past five matches, while the Kangaroos remain in search of a top-six scalp.

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne
Source: Melbourne

Adelaide Crows Form

The Crows sit eighth on the ladder with a 5-4 record and a 101.6% net rating. Specifically, Adelaide turned a 10-point half-time deficit into a 37-point victory over Richmond at the MCG in Round 9. Moreover, captain Jordan Dawson and Izak Rankine have anchored the side’s recent winning run. In addition, the Crows have won four of their past five matches against sides currently sitting below their eighth spot. Importantly, Hawthorn and Geelong loom as the Crows’ next two opponents after this fixture.

North Melbourne Form

The Kangaroos sit 12th on the ladder with a 4-5 record and a 104.4% net rating. Specifically, North Melbourne fell agonisingly short against Sydney in Round 9 despite generating more scoring shots and inside 50s than the league leaders. Moreover, the side under Alastair Clarkson continues to lack composure to finish off their hard work. In addition, the Kangaroos arrive in Adelaide with a point to prove after failing to win at Adelaide Oval across their past 13 visits and a horror streak of 8 straight losses to the Crows.

Form Comparison

The form table below compares both teams across their last 5 matches.

Adelaide Crows Last 5 Games

DateOpponentResult
May 10, 2026RichmondWon by 37 points
May 1, 2026Yartapuulti (Port Adelaide)Won by 1 point
April 26, 2026Brisbane LionsLost by 52 points
April 18, 2026Euro-Yroke (St Kilda)Won by 1 point
April 9, 2026CarltonWon by 28 points

North Melbourne Last 5 Games

DateOpponentResult
May 9, 2026Sydney SwansLost by 8 points
May 2, 2026Geelong CatsLost by 49 points
April 26, 2026GWS GiantsLost by 7 points
April 19, 2026RichmondWon by 75 points
April 11, 2026Brisbane LionsLost by 26 points

AFL Round 10 Ladder Position

The ladder position reflects the contrasting fortunes of the two clubs in 2026. Furthermore, just four ladder positions separate Adelaide from North Melbourne heading into Round 10.

PositionTeamPlayedWonLostDrawnPoints%
8Adelaide Crows (Kuwarna)954020101.7
12North Melbourne945016104.4

Head-to-Head: Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne

The Crows have dominated this rivalry, winning the last 8 meetings against the Kangaroos. Specifically, Adelaide have won the past 3 head-to-head clashes by an average margin of 35 points.

DateTournamentResult
August 23, 2025Round 24Adelaide won by 13 points (113-100)
March 30, 2025Round 3Adelaide won by 36 points (114-78)
April 27, 2024Round 7Adelaide won by 57 points (138-81)

Playing Squads

Here are the squads for teams.

Adelaide Crows Playing Squad

The Crows field a settled lineup led by captain Jordan Dawson and the in-form Izak Rankine. Specifically, the side combines experienced veterans with the contested ball-winners across midfield.

Adelaide Crows Playing Squad: Jordan Dawson (c), Izak Rankine, Rory Laird, Reilly O’Brien, Mark Keane, Jake Soligo, Wayne Milera, Mitch Hinge, Brayden Cook, Josh Worrell, Max Michalanney, Sam Berry, Lachie Murphy, Ben Keays, Lachlan Sholl, Riley Thilthorpe, Darcy Fogarty, Jordon Butts, Taylor Walker, Callum Ah Chee, Luke Pedlar, Chayce Jones, Hugh Bond

IN: Jordon Butts, Darcy Fogarty OUT: Hugh Bond, Riley Thilthorpe (injury doubt)

North Melbourne Playing Squad

The Kangaroos are led by first-year captain Nick Larkey with Luke Davies-Uniacke anchoring the midfield. Specifically, the side combines experienced campaigners with developing young talent.

North Melbourne Playing Squad: Nick Larkey (c), Luke Davies-Uniacke, Harry Sheezel, Tristan Xerri, Tom Powell, Jy Simpkin, Cam Zurhaar, Bailey Scott, Paul Curtis, Zac Fisher, Dylan Stephens, Kallan Dawson, Caleb Daniel, Hugh Greenwood, Charlie Comben, Aidan Corr, Toby Pink, Jack Darling, Liam Shiels, Eddie Ford, Riley Hardeman, Colby McKercher, Finn O’Sullivan

Game Shapers and Key Players

Furthermore, several individual matchups will shape the outcome of the Round 10 fixture. Specifically, both sides feature standout players at every position.

Adelaide Crows Key Players

Izak Rankine has been the spark Adelaide needed to ignite their season. Specifically, the 26-year-old impressed with 33 disposals, 5 clearances, 9 tackles, and 1 goal against Richmond after being handed more midfield minutes.

Jordan Dawson continues to lead from the front as Crows captain. In addition, his 29 disposals and 1 goal against Richmond turned a half-time deficit into a 37-point victory.

Reilly O’Brien anchors the Crows’ ruck division with consistent hit-out work. Moreover, his stoppage dominance has been central to Adelaide’s midfield supremacy across the season.

North Melbourne Key Players

Luke Davies-Uniacke has emerged as one of the AFL’s premier midfielders despite the Kangaroos’ losses. Specifically, his 34 disposals, 6 inside 50s, 6 clearances, and 2 goal assists against Sydney earned him 10 coaches votes in a losing effort.

Nick Larkey is the Roos’ first-year captain and lead key forward. In addition, the captain needs to lead the way as the next stage of the rebuild unfolds, having booted just 2 goals in 3 clashes with top-six opposition.

Harry Sheezel continues to be one of North Melbourne’s most consistent ball-winners. Moreover, his attack on the football remains central to the Kangaroos’ midfield identity.

Betting Odds for Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne

Furthermore, the bookmakers have priced Adelaide as solid home favourites for the Round 10 fixture. Specifically, the line is set at Adelaide -9.5 points across most major bookmakers.

BookmakerAdelaide WinNorth Melbourne WinLine (Adelaide)
Sportsbet$1.50$2.61-9.5
TAB$1.48$2.65-9.5
Bet365$1.48$2.60-9.5
BetEasy$1.50$2.61-9.5
Pointsbet$1.50$2.61-9.5

Stats Insider Model Prediction

Specifically, the Stats Insider model rates Adelaide as solid home favourites against the Kangaroos.

  • Adelaide to win: 68%
  • North Melbourne to win: 32%
  • Predicted margin: Adelaide by 9 to 14 points
  • Predicted total: 180 points
  • Both teams to score 80+: Yes (probability 72%)

Expert Tips for Round 10

Adelaide are favourites with -9.5 handicap. Specifically, the Crows’ home advantage at Adelaide Oval and head-to-head dominance tilt the prediction firmly towards the home side.

  • Adelaide Crows to win with -9.5 handicap
  • Total points over 178.5
  • Izak Rankine 25+ disposals
  • Jordan Dawson 28+ disposals
  • Luke Davies-Uniacke 30+ disposals

Where to Watch Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Round 10

Furthermore, the match is broadcast across multiple international networks.

PlatformCoverageRegion
Channel 7Live broadcastAustralia
Fox FootyLive broadcastAustralia
Kayo SportsLive streamingAustralia
FoxtelLive broadcastAustralia
Watch AFLLive streamingWorldwide
TNT SportsLive broadcastUK
HBO MaxLive streamingUK

Match Prediction: Adelaide Crows to Win Narrowly at Home

In summary, Adelaide look solid favourites to extend their head-to-head dominance over North Melbourne at Adelaide Oval. Specifically, the Crows’ 8-match winning streak, home advantage, and North Melbourne’s 13-match losing run at Adelaide Oval all favour the Crows. Moreover, the return of key tall players Darcy Fogarty and Jordon Butts strengthens the Adelaide forward and back lines. Furthermore, Matthew Nicks’s tactical control and the form of Rankine and Dawson should ensure the Crows close out a comfortable victory.

Final Prediction: Adelaide Crows to win by 9 to 14 points

Also Read

Conclusion: Crows Aim to Extend Winning Streak Over Kangaroos

The Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Round 10 fixture pits the eighth-placed Crows against a 12th-placed Kangaroos side. Specifically, Adelaide’s 8-match head-to-head winning streak and the Roos’ 13-match losing run at Adelaide Oval make the Crows clear favourites.

Furthermore, kick-off is at 12:45 PM ACST (1:15 PM AEST) on Saturday, May 16, 2026 at Adelaide Oval, with live coverage on Channel 7, Fox Footy, and Kayo Sports across Australia.

Author By:

Liam Carter

Liam has over a decade of experience covering AFL, NRL, and cricket. He focuses on match insights, player performance, and clear, data-backed analysis for Australian sports fans. He has covered major domestic leagues and international fixtures, bringing a strong understanding of game situations and team dynamics. His approach combines statistics with real match context, helping readers get simple and practical insights from every game.

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